SLS Resources

Technical References

Deep dives on electricity market structure, forecasting, and bid optimization.

June 29, 2026

How Batteries Bid in ERCOT: A Field Guide to Timeline, Dispatch, and Settlement

A working reference on ERCOT market mechanics for storage: the two-market structure post-RTC+B, the decision timeline from the 10 AM day-ahead close through five-minute dispatch, the two-settlement netting rule, why awards are honored financially but never physically, and the four ways a battery ends up short into a spike.

ERCOTbattery storagemarket structuresettlementSCEDday-ahead market
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April 27, 2026

The State-of-Charge Value Curve: From Dynamic Program to Offer Curve

A technical reference on the control layer of storage bidding: why the marginal value of stored energy is the central object, how a dynamic program over price scenarios computes it, how the offer curve falls out as the derivative of a value function, and how ancillary offers, degradation, and committed positions all price off the same surface.

battery storageoptimizationdynamic programmingbid curvesancillary servicesERCOT
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April 20, 2026

Optimization Formulations for Battery and Renewable Bidding

A technical reference on the optimization formulations behind battery and renewable bidding: rolling-horizon LP/MILP, stochastic programming, MPC, CVaR, and robust methods, with the constraints and trade-offs that matter in practice.

energy marketsoptimizationbattery storagerenewablesstochastic programming
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April 13, 2026

Forecasting Power Price Spikes: Hurdle Models, Pareto Tails, and Calibration That Carries Money

A technical reference on probabilistic price forecasting for storage: why one model cannot fit both the normal regime and the spike regime, how a hurdle decomposition with an extreme-value tail handles both, why dependence across hours matters as much as the marginals, and the calibration diagnostics that translate directly into revenue.

forecastingprice spikesextreme value theorycalibrationERCOTprobabilistic models
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February 16, 2026

A Reference Architecture for Production Market-Bidding Systems

A layer-by-layer reference architecture for electricity market bidding: bitemporal data, probabilistic forecasts, scenario reduction, rolling optimization, independent risk controls, and settlement-grade attribution.

energy marketssystem architectureforecastingoptimizationrisk controls
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September 15, 2025

The Methods Landscape for Electricity Price and Spread Forecasting

A technical reference on model families for electricity price and spread forecasting: regularized regression and tree ensembles as baselines, quantile and distributional models, deep learning, ensembling, feature families, and evaluation practice under low signal to noise.

electricity marketsforecastingmachine learningprobabilistic modelsenergy trading
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